2000 Oscar Predictions:
Who Will Win, and Who Should


Okay! We've got five days to go and it's time for me to go down the line and commit myself to predictions in all the divisions. For those of you who are frequent visitors and correspondents, however, don't worry that I've lost my personality—I'm still petty and self-absorbed! In the right-hand column, I've denoted for whom I would vote in all races save the Animated, Live Action, and Documentary Short categories. Finally, I have observed no preference in the Foreign Language and Documentary Feature categories, since even I am not so self-absorbed as to declaim authority among movies I have not seen. (I have at least screened Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, but none of its competitors, and who's to say one of them isn't better?)

Who Will Win
BEST PICTURE
Chocolat
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon
Erin Brockovich
Gladiator
Traffic

BEST DIRECTOR
Stephen Daldry, Billy Elliot
Ang Lee, Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon
Ridley Scott, Gladiator
Steven Soderbergh, Erin Brockovich
Steven Soderbergh, Traffic

BEST ACTRESS
Joan Allen, The Contender
Juliette Binoche, Chocolat
Ellen Burstyn, Requiem for a Dream
Laura Linney, You Can Count on Me
Julia Roberts, Erin Brockovich

BEST ACTOR
Javier Bardem, Before Night Falls
Russell Crowe, Gladiator
Tom Hanks, Cast Away
Ed Harris, Pollock
Geoffrey Rush, Quills

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Judi Dench, Chocolat
Marcia Gay Harden, Pollock
Kate Hudson, Almost Famous
Frances McDormand, Almost Famous
Julie Walters, Billy Elliot

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Jeff Bridges, The Contender
Willem Dafoe, Shadow of the Vampire
Benicio Del Toro, Traffic
Albert Finney, Erin Brockovich
Joaquin Phoenix, Gladiator

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Almost Famous, Cameron Crowe
Billy Elliot, Lee Hall
Erin Brockovich, Susannah Grant
Gladiator, Franzoni/Logan/Nicholson
You Can Count on Me, Kenneth Lonergan

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Chocolat, Robert Nelson Jacobs
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, Wang/Schamus/Tsai
O Brother, Where Art Thou?, Joel & Ethan Coen
Traffic, Stephen Gaghan
Wonder Boys, Steve Kloves

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, Peter Pau
Gladiator, John Mathieson
Malèna, Lajos Koltai
O Brother, Where Art Thou?, Roger Deakins
The Patriot, Caleb Deschanel

ART DIRECTION
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, Tim Yip
Dr. Seuss' How the Grinch..., Michael Corenblith
Gladiator, Arthur Max
Quills, Martin Childs
Vatel, Jean Rabasse

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, Tim Yip
Dr. Seuss' How the Grinch..., Rita Ryack
Gladiator, Janty Yates
102 Dalmatians, Anthony Powell
Quills, Jacqueline West

BEST EDITING
Almost Famous, Joe Hutshing & Saar Klein
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, Tim Squyres
Gladiator, Pietro Scalia
Traffic, Stephen Mirrione
Wonder Boys, Dede Allen

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Chocolat, Rachel Portman
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, Tan Dun
Gladiator, Hans Zimmer & Lisa Gerrard
Malèna, Ennio Morricone
The Patriot, John Williams

BEST FOREIGN FILM
Amores Perros
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon
Divided We Fall
Everybody Famous!
The Taste of Others

BEST DOC. FEATURE
Into the Arms of Strangers
Legacy
Long Night's Journey into Day
Scottsboro: An American Tragedy
Sound and Fury

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
"A Fool in Love," Meet the Parents
"I've Seen It All," Dancer in the Dark
"A Love Before Time," Crouching Tiger...
"My Funny Friend and Me," Emperor's New...
"Things Have Changed," Wonder Boys

BEST SOUND
Cast Away
Gladiator
The Patriot
The Perfect Storm
U-571

BEST SOUND EFFECTS
Space Cowboys
U-571

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Gladiator
Hollow Man
The Perfect Storm

BEST MAKEUP
The Cell
Dr. Seuss' How the Grinch Stole Christmas
Shadow of the Vampire
Who Should Win

BEST PICTURE
Chocolat
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon
Erin Brockovich
Gladiator
Traffic

BEST DIRECTOR
Stephen Daldry, Billy Elliot
Ang Lee, Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon
Ridley Scott, Gladiator
Steven Soderbergh, Erin Brockovich
Steven Soderbergh, Traffic

BEST ACTRESS
Joan Allen, The Contender
Juliette Binoche, Chocolat
Ellen Burstyn, Requiem for a Dream
Laura Linney, You Can Count on Me
Julia Roberts, Erin Brockovich

BEST ACTOR
Javier Bardem, Before Night Falls
Russell Crowe, Gladiator
Tom Hanks, Cast Away
Ed Harris, Pollock
Geoffrey Rush, Quills

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Judi Dench, Chocolat
Marcia Gay Harden, Pollock
Kate Hudson, Almost Famous
Frances McDormand, Almost Famous
Julie Walters, Billy Elliot

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Jeff Bridges, The Contender
Willem Dafoe, Shadow of the Vampire
Benicio Del Toro, Traffic
Albert Finney, Erin Brockovich
Joaquin Phoenix, Gladiator

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Almost Famous, Cameron Crowe
Billy Elliot, Lee Hall
Erin Brockovich, Susannah Grant
Gladiator, Franzoni/Logan/Nicholson
You Can Count on Me, Kenneth Lonergan

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Chocolat, Robert Nelson Jacobs
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, Wang/Schamus/Tsai
O Brother, Where Art Thou?, Joel & Ethan Coen
Traffic, Stephen Gaghan
Wonder Boys, Steve Kloves

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, Peter Pau
Gladiator, John Mathieson
Malèna, Lajos Koltai
O Brother, Where Art Thou?, Roger Deakins
The Patriot, Caleb Deschanel

ART DIRECTION
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, Tim Yip
Dr. Seuss' How the Grinch..., Michael Corenblith
Gladiator, Arthur Max
Quills, Martin Childs
Vatel, Jean Rabasse

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, Tim Yip
Dr. Seuss' How the Grinch..., Rita Ryack
Gladiator, Janty Yates
102 Dalmatians, Anthony Powell
Quills, Jacqueline West

BEST EDITING
Almost Famous, Joe Hutshing & Saar Klein
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, Tim Squyres
Gladiator, Pietro Scalia
Traffic, Stephen Mirrione
Wonder Boys, Dede Allen

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Chocolat, Rachel Portman
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, Tan Dun
Gladiator, Hans Zimmer & Lisa Gerrard
Malèna, Ennio Morricone
The Patriot, John Williams

BEST FOREIGN FILM
Amores Perros
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon
Divided We Fall
Everybody Famous!
The Taste of Others

BEST DOC. FEATURE
Into the Arms of Strangers
Legacy
Long Night's Journey into Day
Scottsboro: An American Tragedy
Sound and Fury

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
"A Fool in Love," Meet the Parents
"I've Seen It All," Dancer in the Dark
"A Love Before Time," Crouching Tiger...
"My Funny Friend and Me," Emperor's New...
"Things Have Changed," Wonder Boys

BEST SOUND
Cast Away
Gladiator
The Patriot
The Perfect Storm
U-571

BEST SOUND EFFECTS
Space Cowboys
U-571

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Gladiator
Hollow Man
The Perfect Storm

BEST MAKEUP
The Cell
Dr. Seuss' How the Grinch...
Shadow of the Vampire

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